Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal

Forest have not scored a home league goal this season (three home games, 0 scored, 2 conceded) and have failed to score in three of six overall. Igor Jesus is out and Milenković and Neco Williams are doubts. Arsenal are second with three clean sheets in six, but they are without Saliba, Hincapié and Tzolis, Zubimendi is a major doubt, and they go to Bayern on Wednesday. The history is stark: Forest have scored once in the last five league meetings, and the last two at the City Ground were 0-0. The 1X2 is close to fair; the edge is in the goals markets, which the books price almost exactly at 50/50.

Top 3 picks

1. 1Both teams to score: No-115*Med

   Fair 50.5%, our estimate 56%. Forest have not scored at home, Arsenal keep clean sheets, and Forest have one goal in five meetings. Against: Arsenal's absences in central defence.

2. 2Under 2.5 goals-115*Low

   Fair 50.7%, our estimate 56%. Four of the last five meetings went under. Against: Arsenal went over 2.5 in four of six, and this overlaps pick 1 on 1-0 and 2-0.

3. 3Draw+292*Low

   Fair 24.1%, our estimate 26%. Two 0-0s in the last two City Ground meetings and an Arsenal side with Bayern next. Against: Arsenal have lost once all season and usually win this fixture.

*Odds subject to change. Confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.