Sharper picks. Every match.
Daily analysis, picks, and pre-match breakdowns with model-backed picks, live odds value reads, and the rationale behind every bet — so you stop guessing and start finding edges.
Featured matches
Orioles @ Red Sox (G1)
11:35am CST · Fenway Park
Jake Bennett''s 3.08 FIP and 0.88 WHIP, Boston''s league-best 3.09 bullpen and a 10-0 stretch all point one way against Dean Kremer''s 6.23 FIP; the caveat is Boston is 22-27 at home and posts a weak .685 OPS against the right-handers Kremer represents.
Best bullpen in baseball, 10-0 form, and a starter FIP gap over three runs.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.
Read more →Dodgers @ Phillies
4:40pm CST · Citizens Bank Park
Eric Lauer''s 6.11 FIP and Aaron Nola''s 5.00 FIP are two of the three worst on the board, both home-run driven, in the wrong park for it; the caveat is both bullpens are usable and Philadelphia is 19-7 in one-run games.
A combined 11.11 FIP between the starters in a home-run park.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.
Read more →Pirates @ Yankees (G2)
5:05pm CST · Yankee Stadium
Max Fried is the best arm pitching today (2.76 FIP, 1.01 WHIP, one home run allowed in 61.2 innings) against a Bubba Chandler carrying a 1.45 WHIP; the caveat is Chandler''s strikeout rate can keep this close even while he walks the park.
Best starter on the slate against an opponent with a 1.45 WHIP.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.
Read more →Picks, but with the receipts.
Live odds value reads
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Model vs. market
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