Nationals @ Rockies
Cade Cavalli''s 3.26 FIP and 10.2 K/9 face a Colorado starter whose 14.1-inning sample is too thin to rate and is withheld; the caveat is Washington''s 5.13 bullpen has to cover four innings at altitude.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Coors Field, the most run-inflating park in baseball at altitude, open-air with no roof, hot afternoon.
| Stat | Nationals | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 5.13 | 4.87 |
| Form (last 10) | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Run differential | +18 | -93 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .759 vs RHP | .765 vs RHP |
Our read: Cade Cavalli''s 3.26 FIP and 10.2 K/9 face a Colorado starter whose 14.1-inning sample is too thin to rate and is withheld; the caveat is Washington''s 5.13 bullpen has to cover four innings at altitude.
Top 3 picks
- 1Nationals ML-141*Med
Cavalli's 3.26 FIP against an unrated arm, and a 111-run gap in differential.
- 2Over 11.5-105*Low
Coors plus a 5.13 Washington bullpen, though the number is already inflated.
- 3Pass the run lineLow
Coors is the worst park in the sport for laying -1.5.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.