Rays @ Blue Jays
Griffin Jax and Braydon Fisher are a genuine coin flip on the mound and both bullpens sit under 4.20, which supports the under more than either side; the caveat is both FIPs are above 4.10, so the ERAs overstate the suppression.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Rogers Centre, a hitter-friendly turf park with a retractable roof, likely closed for a warm evening.
| Stat | Rays | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Griffin Jax (RHP) | Braydon Fisher (RHP) |
| SP ERA | 4.08 | 3.65 |
| SP WHIP | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| SP K/9 | 9.24 | 9.12 |
| SP FIP | 4.47 | 4.16 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 4.15 | 3.92 |
| Form (last 10) | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Run differential | +30 | -61 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .759 vs RHP | .698 vs RHP |
Our read: Griffin Jax and Braydon Fisher are a genuine coin flip on the mound and both bullpens sit under 4.20, which supports the under more than either side; the caveat is both FIPs are above 4.10, so the ERAs overstate the suppression.
Top 3 picks
- 1Under 8-107*Med
Two starters with sub-1.30 WHIPs and two bullpens under 4.20.
- 2Rays ML-105*Low
Far better team, but a road split and thin form take the edge off.
- 3Pass the run lineLow
Toronto -1.5 at +183 in a pick'em is a lottery ticket.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.