Padres @ Braves
Michael King and Martín Pérez are both contact-efficient with WHIPs under 1.20, and Atlanta''s plus 104 differential and 3.14 bullpen carry the side; the caveat is San Diego''s .680 OPS against left-handers is the worst offensive split in any game today, which argues the under more than a cover.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Truist Park, a fair park that plays close to neutral, open-air with no roof, warm humid evening.
| Stat | Padres | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Michael King (RHP) | Martín Pérez (LHP) |
| SP ERA | 3.34 | 3.54 |
| SP WHIP | 1.16 | 1.19 |
| SP K/9 | 7.62 | 6.86 |
| SP FIP | 4.15 | 4.48 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 3.66 | 3.14 |
| Form (last 10) | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Run differential | -28 | +104 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .680 vs LHP | .750 vs RHP |
Our read: Michael King and Martín Pérez are both contact-efficient with WHIPs under 1.20, and Atlanta''s plus 104 differential and 3.14 bullpen carry the side; the caveat is San Diego''s .680 OPS against left-handers is the worst offensive split in any game today, which argues the under more than a cover.
Top 3 picks
- 1Braves ML-113*Med
+104 differential, better bullpen, and a Padres lineup that cannot hit lefties.
- 2Under 8.5+100*Med
Both starters under 1.20 WHIP and both bullpens under 3.70, at plus money.
- 3Pass the run lineLow
Atlanta -1.5 in a projected low-scoring game.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.