Pirates @ Yankees (G1)
Gerrit Cole''s 3.99 FIP and 1.16 WHIP outclass Mitch Keller''s 4.51 FIP, and New York''s 3.09 bullpen is the tiebreaker late; the caveat is Pittsburgh''s .786 OPS against right-handers is the best road offensive split on the board.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Yankee Stadium, a home-run-friendly park with a short right-field porch, open-air with no roof, warm late-morning first game of a split doubleheader.
| Stat | Pirates | Yankees (G1) |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Mitch Keller (RHP) | Gerrit Cole (RHP) |
| SP ERA | 5.14 | 3.93 |
| SP WHIP | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| SP K/9 | 6.71 | 9 |
| SP FIP | 4.51 | 3.99 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 4.38 | 3.09 |
| Form (last 10) | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Run differential | +51 | +88 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .786 vs RHP | .738 vs RHP |
Our read: Gerrit Cole''s 3.99 FIP and 1.16 WHIP outclass Mitch Keller''s 4.51 FIP, and New York''s 3.09 bullpen is the tiebreaker late; the caveat is Pittsburgh''s .786 OPS against right-handers is the best road offensive split on the board.
Top 3 picks
- 1Yankees ML-172*Med
Better starter by FIP, best-tier bullpen, +88 run differential against +51.
- 2Under 9.5-118*Low
Two righties with sub-1.35 WHIPs, but the short porch cuts against it.
- 3Pass the run lineLow
Yankees -1.5 asks a modest favorite to win by two.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.