Athletics @ D-backs
Gage Jump''s 3.15 FIP is nearly three runs better than Merrill Kelly''s 5.94, which is why the road underdog has value; the caveat is the Athletics are 2-8 in their last ten with the worst bullpen on the slate at 5.44.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Chase Field, a fair-to-hitter-friendly park with a retractable roof, closed and air-conditioned for a hot afternoon.
| Stat | Athletics | D-backs |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Gage Jump (LHP) | Merrill Kelly (RHP) |
| SP ERA | 3.78 | 5.2 |
| SP WHIP | 1.32 | 1.49 |
| SP K/9 | 9.63 | 5.66 |
| SP FIP | 3.15 | 5.94 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 5.44 | 4.00 |
| Form (last 10) | 2-8 | 7-3 |
| Run differential | -112 | -13 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .727 vs RHP | .765 vs LHP |
Our read: Gage Jump''s 3.15 FIP is nearly three runs better than Merrill Kelly''s 5.94, which is why the road underdog has value; the caveat is the Athletics are 2-8 in their last ten with the worst bullpen on the slate at 5.44.
Top 3 picks
- 1Athletics ML+100*Med
Kelly's 5.94 FIP is a real liability and Jump is better by nearly three runs of FIP.
- 2Over 9-113*Low
Kelly's home-run rate at Chase Field, though Jump suppresses well.
- 3Pass the run lineLow
Neither team profiles as a comfortable -1.5.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.