Mets @ Brewers
Logan Henderson''s 2.76 FIP and 0.93 WHIP against Christian Scott''s 10.9 K/9 makes this the lowest-scoring projection on the slate; the caveat is minus 150 on Milwaukee is a full price for a team the market already respects.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: American Family Field, a neutral-to-hitter-friendly park with a retractable roof, likely closed for a hot midday game.
| Stat | Mets | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Christian Scott (RHP) | Logan Henderson (RHP) |
| SP ERA | 2.87 | 2.97 |
| SP WHIP | 1.22 | 0.93 |
| SP K/9 | 10.86 | 10.26 |
| SP FIP | 3.82 | 2.76 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 3.97 | 3.55 |
| Form (last 10) | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Run differential | -63 | +132 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .687 vs RHP | .755 vs RHP |
Our read: Logan Henderson''s 2.76 FIP and 0.93 WHIP against Christian Scott''s 10.9 K/9 makes this the lowest-scoring projection on the slate; the caveat is minus 150 on Milwaukee is a full price for a team the market already respects.
Top 3 picks
- 1Under 7.5-105*Med
Two sub-3.00 ERAs and the two best WHIPs in any single game today.
- 2Brewers ML-150*Med
+132 differential against -63, with the better bullpen.
- 3Pass the run lineLow
Milwaukee -1.5 in a game projected under 8 runs asks a lot.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.