Marlins @ Astros
Sandy Alcantara''s ERA and FIP agree at roughly 3.89 across a slate-leading 136.2 innings, while Peter Lambert''s 3.03 ERA hides a 4.13 FIP; the caveat is Miami is 2-8 in its last ten and 21-30 on the road, which is the whole reason they are available at even money.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Daikin Park, a hitter-friendly park with a retractable roof, closed and air-conditioned for a hot Houston evening.
| Stat | Marlins | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Sandy Alcantara (RHP) | Peter Lambert (RHP) |
| SP ERA | 3.89 | 3.03 |
| SP WHIP | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| SP K/9 | 7.05 | 8.9 |
| SP FIP | 3.88 | 4.13 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 3.80 | 4.23 |
| Form (last 10) | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Run differential | +14 | -48 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .741 vs RHP | .736 vs RHP |
Our read: Sandy Alcantara''s ERA and FIP agree at roughly 3.89 across a slate-leading 136.2 innings, while Peter Lambert''s 3.03 ERA hides a 4.13 FIP; the caveat is Miami is 2-8 in its last ten and 21-30 on the road, which is the whole reason they are available at even money.
Top 3 picks
- 1Marlins ML+100*Med
Better starter by FIP, better bullpen, better differential, at a pick'em price.
- 2Under 8+100*Low
Alcantara goes deep and both bullpens are usable, at plus money.
- 3Pass the run lineLow
Miami still is not a -1.5 team.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.