Dodgers @ Phillies
Eric Lauer''s 6.11 FIP and Aaron Nola''s 5.00 FIP are two of the three worst on the board, both home-run driven, in the wrong park for it; the caveat is both bullpens are usable and Philadelphia is 19-7 in one-run games.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Citizens Bank Park, the most home-run-friendly park in the National League, open-air with no roof, warm summer evening.
| Stat | Dodgers | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Eric Lauer (LHP) | Aaron Nola (RHP) |
| SP ERA | 4.81 | 5.68 |
| SP WHIP | 1.28 | 1.45 |
| SP K/9 | 5.52 | 9.44 |
| SP FIP | 6.11 | 5 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 3.76 | 4.38 |
| Form (last 10) | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Run differential | +153 | -11 |
Our read: Eric Lauer''s 6.11 FIP and Aaron Nola''s 5.00 FIP are two of the three worst on the board, both home-run driven, in the wrong park for it; the caveat is both bullpens are usable and Philadelphia is 19-7 in one-run games.
Top 3 picks
- 1Over 9.5-105*High
A combined 11.11 FIP between the starters in a home-run park.
- 2Dodgers ML-119*Med
+153 differential, .782 OPS against righties, and the better bullpen.
- 3Dodgers -1.5+127*Low
Plausible in a high-scoring game, but Philadelphia is 19-7 in one-run games.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.