Tigers @ Cubs
Keider Montero''s 3.67 FIP and 0.98 WHIP are more than a run better than Colin Rea''s 4.89, which makes a pick''em price generous to Detroit; the caveat is Montero''s 6.3 K/9 means his WHIP leans on contact management, his FIP sits well above his ERA, and the Cubs hit righties better than the Tigers do.
📊 The numbers
Park & weather: Wrigley Field, a park whose run environment swings entirely on wind direction, open-air with no roof, evening first pitch.
| Stat | Tigers | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Starter | Keider Montero (RHP) | Colin Rea (RHP) |
| SP ERA | 3.22 | 4.74 |
| SP WHIP | 0.98 | 1.42 |
| SP K/9 | 6.26 | 6.79 |
| SP FIP | 3.67 | 4.89 |
| Bullpen ERA (season) | 3.86 | 4.09 |
| Form (last 10) | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Run differential | +24 | +69 |
| Offense vs starter's hand (OPS) | .718 vs RHP | .741 vs RHP |
Our read: Keider Montero''s 3.67 FIP and 0.98 WHIP are more than a run better than Colin Rea''s 4.89, which makes a pick''em price generous to Detroit; the caveat is Montero''s 6.3 K/9 means his WHIP leans on contact management, his FIP sits well above his ERA, and the Cubs hit righties better than the Tigers do.
Top 3 picks
- 1Tigers ML-102*Med
A pick'em price on the side with a 1.22-run FIP advantage on the mound.
- 2Under 8-113*Low
Montero suppresses well but Rea does not, and Wrigley's wind is a coin flip.
- 3Pass the run lineLow
Detroit +1.5 at -221 pays too little for the risk.
*Odds subject to change — confirm current odds at your sportsbook before betting.