Por ahora el análisis de este partido está en inglés. La versión en español llega pronto.

León vs América

The weakest game on the card for us. The market has América at 43% fair and both models are slightly higher (48% and 44%), but the models do not know that Miguel Borja is suspended after his red card against Monterrey or that Víctor Dávila has a knee problem, news a liquid market prices and a backward-looking model misses. León are 4-0-1 at home with nine scored and four conceded, and they beat América 1-0 six weeks ago in the Leagues Cup third-place game. América have scored in all ten league games and are 3-1-1 away. Every market is within a couple of points of where we would price it. Our honest advice is to pass or stake the minimum.

Las 3 mejores jugadas

1. 1América to win+120*Baja

   Fair 43.1%, ours 46%. The better team at plus money. Against: Borja's suspension removes their main finisher, and León are 4-0-1 at home.

2. 2Under 2.5 goals+111*Baja

   Fair 44.6%, ours 48%. León home games are 2 of 5 over. Against: América road games are 3 of 5 over with both sides scoring in four.

3. 3Both teams to score: No+127*Baja

   Fair 41.1%, ours 45%. León have three clean sheets in five home games. Against: América have scored in every league game, and León have scored in all five home games.

*Los momios pueden cambiar. Confirma el momio vigente en tu casa de apuestas antes de apostar.