The Goal

Por ahora el análisis de este partido está en inglés. La versión en español llega pronto.

La Liga · Sun 8:15am CST · Balaídos

Celta vs Alavés

Celta (9th, 8 points) have drawn five of eight and average only 0.91 xG per game. Borja Iglesias is out and joint top scorer Pablo Durán is a doubt. They lost 1-2 at home to Juventus on Thursday and go to Celtic next Thursday, so this is Thursday, Sunday, Thursday with a thin attack. Alavés (7th, 11 points) have scored once in their last three and are 0W 2D 1L away with 2 goals in three games; Lucas Boyé (5 goals) is their threat. Celta have also fixed their defence, conceding only 6 in eight. Everything points to a low-scoring game.

📊 Los números

DatoCeltaAlavés
xG / xGA por partido (últimos 8)0.91 / 1.21.14 / 1.33
Más de 2.5 goles (temporada)25%50%

Nuestra lectura: Two blunt attacks: Celta create under one xG a game and Alavés have scored once in three. The caveat: the last meeting at Balaídos finished 3-4.

Las 3 mejores jugadas

  1. 1Celta team total Under 1.5-182*Media

    Fair 59.7%, our estimate 66% (one book). The lowest xG in the fixture, no Borja Iglesias, a doubt over Durán and Thursday-Sunday legs. Against: one book, a thin edge after the margin, and Celta scored five against Racing.

  2. 2Under 2.5 goals-157*Baja

    Fair 57.6%, our estimate 62%. Against: the algorithmic model leans over, and the last meeting here produced seven goals.

  3. 3Draw+230*Baja

    Fair 28.7%, our estimate 31%. Two of three models have the draw above 32% and Celta draw a lot. Against: 1-1 and 0-0 also cash ranks 1 and 2, the same low-scoring thesis.

*Los momios pueden cambiar. Confirma el momio vigente en tu casa de apuestas antes de apostar.