Por ahora el análisis de este partido está en inglés. La versión en español llega pronto.

Bournemouth vs Sunderland

A relegation six-pointer between 18th and 17th. Bournemouth, under Marco Rose, are winless (0-3-3) without a clean sheet, and Alex Scott is out for four or five weeks. Sunderland have lost three in a row and played in Portugal on Thursday night, winning with a 93rd-minute goal and flying home, while Bournemouth played at home on Thursday. The models cluster on Bournemouth (median about 46.8%) against a fair 44.5%, and the travel asymmetry, the one thing models cannot see, points the same way.

Las 3 mejores jugadas

1. 1Bournemouth to win+113*Baja

   Fair 44.5%, our estimate 47%. The models and the travel both lean home. Against: Bournemouth have won none of six, and the edge against the price is a fraction of a point.

2. 2Both teams to score: Yes-139*Baja

   Fair 54.7%, our estimate 58%. Bournemouth are 5 of 6 BTTS with no clean sheets. Against: Sunderland are 3 of 6 and blanked in two of their last three.

3. 3Over 2.5 goals-112*Baja

   Fair 50.3%, our estimate 53%. The algorithmic model expects 3.13 goals and a 2-2. Against: Sunderland are 2 of 6 on overs, and this shares a thesis with pick 2.

*Los momios pueden cambiar. Confirma el momio vigente en tu casa de apuestas antes de apostar.